The post includes two easily digestible charts. The first illustrates the three types of designated consumer profiles, and what happened to their credit scores after each of the following events: they were 30 days late on the mortgage; they were 90 days late on the mortgage; they completed a short sale/deed-in-lieu/settlement (with no deficiency balance); they completed a short sale with a deficiency balance; they went through a foreclosure; and bankruptcy.
The second chart delineates the estimated credit score recovery time that would be required after each of the events, at each of the three chosen points on the credit continuum.
The study reveals a sea change in the lending environment. Not long ago, a credit score as low as 600 could be enough to secure a viable mortgage. But as Gaskin points out, in the new world of mortgage finance, a credit score of 620 means "you're getting to the point where the grantor may think you're not worth the risk. ... (W)ith credit tightening, we're seeing a ratcheting up of the credit standards."
In fact, it appears that 720 would be the new minimum for a prime conventional loan, though it's possible to get an FHA loan with a lower credit score.
Gaskin's findings underscore the importance of staying current with mortgage payments and seeking resources and assistance at the first sign of trouble.
Just being 30 days late on your mortgage means your credit score will drop precipitously. In fact, the difference in the hit your credit score will take between being 30 days late in paying your mortgage and going into foreclosure isn't that big.
"Being 30 days late signals (distress) and inability to pay," Gaskin explains. "If in fact you are concerned about not being able to make your payment, be proactive because there is help out there in the form of a variety of forbearance programs."
With many homeowners still caught in the throes of the recent Great Recession, missing even a single payment has been a fairly common occurrence. But being late once doesn't necessarily destroy your credit history and score forever.
"If you had just one 30-day late instance, allow me to point out that payment history is only 30 percent of your FICO score," Gaskin notes. "Let's say you've had good long-standing history. That one late payment will age and within a short time, will stop being a factor. Any credit grantor should allow you to explain that anomaly and it should not preclude getting credit."
One 30-day late payment isn't so bad. But what happens if you have to go through a bankruptcy filing?
In this scenario, the research showed that individuals with scores of 680, 720 and 780 are basically reduced to the same level (the mid-500s), and face a similar seven- to 10-year climb back up the credit ladder.
If this seems unfair to those who have worked very hard to achieve excellent standing before a bad financial break, you should know that lenders consider a bankruptcy filing to be the ultimate risk.
"That has to do with the credit risk associated with someone who has declared bankruptcy and the risk of continuing to be delinquent," Gaskin explained. "Bankruptcy is defaulting in the most severe manner possible, so the past doesn't matter. People who may have had years of dependable credit history are now back at square one with everybody else."
It's a tough decision to make. But if you can avoid going into bankruptcy, the research shows your credit history will recover more quickly.
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Personal Finance - What Will Missing Mortgage Payment Do to Your Credit Score?
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